By Sylvester Samai
The apparent nemesis the ruling Sierra Leone Peoples Party is writhing; like pure salt being poured on an earth worm, is the choice of will fittingly replace the incumbent Leader and President of the Republic, Julius Maada Bio when he shall of completed his controversial second and final term in office. History has it firmly recorded in the political history of Sierra Leone that when substantive leaders wane out of power; they leave in their trail an avalanche of political icebergs dangerously hanging that in most of the history of particularly the two main political parties, the APC and the SLPP crashing downstream causing disproportionate damage to the fabric of power structures that had held the parties together when power was concentrated in one man.
The APC is currently battling with its own conundrum and what is next to be seen by Sierra Leoneans in the staged melodrama in the SLPP, is when President Bio bows of out power. The question in this circumstance therefore is: Who next after him?
With President Bio exits the political horizon in 2028, a pertinent question emerges: who will take his place? The contest to succeed him will shape not only the future of the ruling Sierra Leone People’s Party (SLPP) but also the direction the country will take for the foreseeable future. Understanding this future requires an exploration of the current political dynamics, key contenders, and the challenges that lie ahead.
As it is typical in political parties, the race for succession often becomes a power struggle among party elites. Within the SLPP, several names have emerged as potential successors to President Bio. Each candidate brings with them their own political strengths, weaknesses, and appeal to different factions within the party and the broader electorate.
Dr. David Moinina Sengeh, the current Chief Minister and former Minister of Education, has emerged as one of the most talked-about contenders for the presidency post-Bio. A technocrat with a background in artificial intelligence and biomedical engineering, Sengeh symbolizes modernity and innovation within the SLPP. His leadership in rolling out Sierra Leone’s Free Quality Education has won him national and international recognition, portraying him as a forward-thinking leader with a global outlook.
However, Sengeh’s political journey is not without its challenges. His tenure has faced scrutiny due to claims of inefficiency in some governmental programs, as well as his relatively short experience in national politics. Moreover, there are concerns that Sengeh, who has focused heavily on education and technology, might struggle to appeal to more traditional or rural segments of the SLPP base. These factions may view him as an elite figure disconnected from their everyday struggles.
Fatima Bio, the First Lady of Sierra Leone, has carved out a formidable political presence during her husband’s presidency. A charismatic figure, she has been actively involved in several national campaigns, including the fight against gender-based violence and initiatives focused on women’s empowerment. Fatima Bio’s high profile and activism have led some to speculate that she may seek the presidency herself.
A run by Fatima Bio would be unprecedented in Sierra Leone’s politics, making it the first time a First Lady of an outgoing President is seeking to directly succeed her husband. While she enjoys significant popularity among certain groups, particularly women and youth, her candidacy would face immense challenges. Critics argue that her ascent to the presidency would appear dynastic and could be perceived as an attempt by President Bio to retain influence behind the scenes. Additionally, she would need to contend with deeply ingrained patriarchal attitudes within Sierra Leonean society that may resist a female president.
Mohamed Juldeh Jalloh, the current Vice President, is another prominent name in the SLPP succession race. A seasoned diplomat and politician, Jalloh has been a steady hand throughout Bio’s administration. His background in international relations and his work with the United Nations before entering domestic politics have bolstered his credentials as a capable leader on the global stage.
As Vice President, Jalloh has maintained a relatively low profile compared to other potential candidates, which could work to his advantage. His image as a loyal and reliable figure may appeal to those within the SLPP who seek stability and continuity after Bio’s departure. However, Jalloh’s quieter persona might also be seen as a disadvantage, as he lacks the same degree of public visibility and charisma that some of his rivals possess. Additionally, there are whispers of discontent within the SLPP’s power circles about Jalloh’s leadership potential, with some seeing him as lacking the dynamism required to take the party forward.
While Sengeh, Fatima Bio, and Juldeh Jalloh are the most discussed contenders, there are other potential figures within the SLPP who could emerge as presidential candidates. For instance, former Attorney General Mohamed Lamin Tarawally, who has been praised for his work on justice sector reforms; might consider a run for the presidency. Similarly, other ministers with strong party support or regional influence could emerge as dark horses in the race. In this upcoming melodrama that has the proclivity of turning into a duel, there is no lose in sight of the surreptitious interests of young people like, Francis Ben Kaifala, Ibrahim Brima Swaray, Yusuf Keketoma Sandy, Napoleon Koroma, to name a few, and the old guards that include, Dr, Alie Kabbah, Dr. Kandeh Kolleh Yumkella, John Benjamin, Andrew Kaillie and a few so far hidden in the Diaspora.
The outcome of the SLPP’s internal leadership contest will likely depend on a combination of factors, including the candidates’ ability to secure support from key party figures, regional loyalties, and their individual appeal to the electorate. A crucial question will be whether the SLPP chooses a candidate who represents a continuation of Bio’s policies or someone who can distance themselves from his more controversial decisions.
The All People’s Congress (APC), Sierra Leone’s main opposition party, will undoubtedly play a critical role in determining who replaces President Bio. After losing power in 2018, the APC has been in a period of internal restructuring and reflection. Samura Kamara, the party’s flagbearer in the 2018 and 2023 elections, remains a central figure, and many believe he may run again in 2028. However, there is also speculation that the APC may look for new leadership to revitalize its base and present a fresh alternative to the SLPP.
Samura Kamara’s role in Sierra Leonean politics cannot be understated. A veteran politician and former finance minister, Kamara was narrowly defeated by Bio in both the 2018 and 2023 elections. Despite these losses, Kamara retains a loyal following within the APC and is seen by many as the party’s most experienced leader. His policy expertise and technocratic background give him an edge in appealing to voters who prioritize competence and governance over charisma.
Nevertheless, Kamara’s repeated defeats may lead some within the APC to question whether he is the right figure to lead the party into the 2028 elections. There is a growing belief that the party may benefit from a new face who can distance the APC from its past governance failures and present a more dynamic alternative to the SLPP.
Several figures within the APC are positioning themselves as potential flagbearers for the 2028 elections. These include Joseph Fitzgerald Kamara, a former Attorney General and Anti-Corruption Commissioner, who is highly regarded for his legal expertise and clean record in public service. Another potential candidate is Chernoh Bah, a rising star within the APC who has built a reputation as a strong advocate for youth and economic reform.
The APC’s ability to field a strong candidate in 2028 will be critical to its chances of reclaiming power. Given the challenges facing the SLPP, including internal divisions and public dissatisfaction with certain aspects of Bio’s presidency, the APC has a genuine opportunity to present itself as a viable alternative.
While the SLPP and APC dominate Sierra Leone’s political landscape, it would be a mistake to overlook the potential impact of third parties and independent candidates in the 2028 elections. In recent years, there has been growing disillusionment with both of the country’s major political parties, particularly among young people and civil society groups. This discontent could create space for a third-party candidate or independent figure to emerge as a serious contender.
The National Grand Coalition (NGC), led by Kandeh Yumkella, has been one of the most prominent third-party movements in recent years. Although the NGC has yet to win significant electoral victories, its message of reform and anti-corruption has resonated with a portion of the electorate. If Yumkella or another third-party candidate can galvanize this discontent, they may be able to challenge the dominance of the SLPP and APC.
Whoever succeeds President Bio will inherit a country facing numerous challenges. Sierra Leone continues to grapple with issues of poverty, unemployment, and corruption. The next leader will need to address these problems while also managing a growing youth population that is increasingly frustrated with the status quo. Additionally, the country’s reliance on foreign aid and debt presents long-term economic challenges that will require careful management.
The successor to Bio will also need to navigate a deeply polarized political landscape. Tribal and regional divisions remain a significant factor in Sierra Leonean politics, and there is a growing need for a leader who can unite the country and foster national cohesion. Moreover, questions of governance and democratic accountability will be central to the next administration, particularly in light of the criticisms that have been leveled against Bio’s leadership in these areas.
The 2028 elections represent a defining moment for Sierra Leone. With President Bio set to step down, the country stands at a crossroads. The SLPP must decide whether to continue along the path laid out by Bio or seek a new direction with fresh leadership. Meanwhile, the APC and other opposition parties have a unique opportunity to present themselves as credible alternatives.
2028 elections will not only determine the fate of the SLPP but will also test the resilience of Sierra Leone’s democratic institutions. The next leader, whether from the SLPP, APC, or another political force, will face a critical task in addressing the country’s pressing challenges and setting a course for future progress.
For the SLPP, the choice of successor will be a delicate balancing act between continuity and change. David Sengeh’s appeal to younger, tech-savvy voters must be weighed against his relatively limited political experience and the need to resonate with traditional constituencies. Fatima Bio’s potential candidacy, while unprecedented, would symbolize continuity but could evoke concerns over dynastic politics. Mohamed Juldeh Jalloh, though a loyal and capable deputy, may struggle with visibility and momentum within his own party. Beyond these leading contenders, other figures within the SLPP could emerge, depending on the shifting power dynamics as the 2028 elections draw nearer.
The APC’s role cannot be understated. Should the party opt for Samura Kamara once more, it risks facing the same fate as in the previous elections, even with his strong support base. New leaders such as Joseph Fitzgerald Kamara or Chernoh Bah could breathe fresh life into the APC, but they would need to consolidate party support quickly to mount an effective challenge against the SLPP.
Third parties, like the NGC, remain potential disruptors, though their ability to translate public discontent into electoral success remains uncertain. Kandeh Yumkella and other independent voices could resonate with voters tired of the traditional political establishment, but they must develop strong organizational frameworks and voter mobilization strategies to truly compete.
The new president, whoever they may be, will face the monumental task of addressing Sierra Leone’s socio-economic challenges. High unemployment rates, particularly among youth, must be prioritized. Economic diversification, reducing the country’s reliance on foreign aid, and managing foreign debt will also be critical.
Moreover, the country will need strong governance reforms to restore public trust in political institutions. Anti-corruption measures, transparent financial practices, and improving the delivery of public services will be essential to fostering stability and long-term development.
Another pressing issue is national unity. Sierra Leone remains divided along tribal and regional lines, exacerbated by both the SLPP and APC’s historical political tactics. The next leader will need to foster a sense of national cohesion, bridging divides and ensuring that governance reflects the diverse makeup of the country. This will involve addressing grievances that have historically been neglected, whether they relate to access to resources, education, healthcare, or representation in government.
The 2028 elections may also signal a generational shift in Sierra Leonean politics. With a growing population of young voters, there is a significant opportunity for new, progressive leadership to emerge. This could manifest in the SLPP through a figure like David Sengeh or in the APC with fresh leadership, as well as through third-party candidates who directly address the needs and aspirations of the youth.
The next leader must understand and prioritize the voices of Sierra Leone’s youth, who increasingly demand transparency, opportunity, and modern governance practices. Failing to address these concerns could lead to political instability or rising support for alternative political movements outside of the mainstream.
The successor to President Bio will also need to navigate the complex international relationships that Sierra Leone maintains, particularly with powers like China, the United States, and regional actors within ECOWAS. President Bio’s administration has maintained close ties with China, despite earlier criticism of the relationship while in opposition. The next leader will have to balance the benefits of foreign investments with concerns about national sovereignty and economic dependency.
Sierra Leone’s role in regional politics will also be central, especially in maintaining peace and security within West Africa. With the rise of regional conflicts and instability, a leader capable of both domestic and international diplomacy will be crucial for maintaining Sierra Leone’s standing and influence within ECOWAS and the African Union.
As Sierra Leone approaches the 2028 elections, the political landscape remains fluid. The SLPP’s choice of successor, the APC’s response, and the potential emergence of third-party candidates will all shape the trajectory of the country. The next president will inherit a nation with significant challenges but also enormous potential.
The ability to foster unity, enact meaningful reforms, and engage effectively with both domestic and international stakeholders will determine whether Sierra Leone moves forward or remains mired in the issues of the past. For Sierra Leoneans, the 2028 elections represent not just a changing of the guard, but a critical moment in the nation’s journey toward progress, development, and true democratic governance.